Trump’s Biofuel Broken Promise

Trump promises a lot. But how much does he really deliver? When you look closely, not very much at all. And of those promises, he’s made a complete mess of one in particular — standing up for renewable fuels. Take a look. 

From the first year of his presidency until now, President Trump has granted 85 small refinery exemptions — SREs. These allow oil refiners to waive the amount of biofuel they have to blend into their gasoline. Compare that 85 to just 23 from President Obama over the same amount of time. Seems like a pretty big jump, right? 

Let’s compare the volumes for these exemptions. Under President Obama, about 690 million gallons were exempted from blending. Under President Trump, 4 billion gallons were taken out of the market. Economists and agriculture experts estimate that’s taken destroyed demand for 1.4 billion bushels of corn, cutting off vital markets for farmers. It has slashed corn and soybean prices. It has shutdown or idled production at dozens of ethanol and biodiesel plants. But most importantly, it has undermined the trust between the rural communities across the midwest that depend on this industry and President Trump. 

You see, the ethanol industry creates jobs, directly or indirectly, for more than 850,000 people. All told, it has an economic impact of nearly $200 billion a year. And that money doesn’t get shipped off to the coasts with the fuel. It stays in the communities where the farms and plants are, and creates strong livelihoods for the folks that live there. 

Trump picked Big Oil over all those people. He’s had chance after chance to fix the problem he created, and he’s completely blown it. People out here are going to remember that, and you can bet that we’re not going to let the president forget it either. 

 

Rural: Ask Them About It

Rural: Ask Them About It

As we all know, the next debate of the Democratic primary is tomorrow, November 20th. We’ve had a few of these already, and we’ve gotten a lot of good air time on candidates foreign policy plans, their health care plans, or their perspective on President Trump. What we haven’t seen much of is attention paid to rural America — and that’s a real shame. These candidates each have dedicated rural plans, or at the very least infrastructure, health care, education, or other plans that focus on the rural components of these issues. When given the chance, they love to talk about them. 

Case in point: The biggest Democratic Party event of the year was just a few weeks ago — Iowa’s Liberty and Justice Celebration in Des Moines. Lot of attention paid to what often amounted to the same stump speeches these candidates make on a daily basis. The next day, in Cedar Rapids, Representative Finkenauer had a forum of her own. It was focused on infrastructure and jobs. And it gave us some of the most substance, the most depth that we’ve yet seen in this primary. 

Elizabeth Warren speaking on rural broadband:

Pete Buttigieg on Trump’s Big Oil Waivers:

Bernie Sanders talking on clean energy infrastructure and biofuels: 

These are just three moments from a *three hour long* forum where 9 candidates shared detail on their vision for investing in infrastructure and jobs, often with a laser focus on rural issues. So this goes to the broadcasters: Ask these candidates about their plans! Give them the opportunity to talk about something they have a clear passion for. And to the candidates and their campaigns, because we’ve seen that we can’t count on the broadcasters: Take every opportunity you can to deliver your vision for small towns, for rural communities, for the areas that get passed over in the larger process in the debate tomorrow. 

Success in the general election will come through breaking down barriers and squeezing margins in those areas. You have done the work. You have strong plans. You are far better suited and better prepared to deliver a hopeful economic message to these communities than the president is. Show that to the country. 

Trump voters think he’s a clown — and he wants them to

Trump voters think he’s a clown — and he wants them to

David Binder Research conducted two focus groups among Iowa voters from Polk County and surrounding areas and one focus group with Iowa voters exclusively from rural areas and small towns outside of Polk County, on August 13 and 14, 2019. The participants in these groups all voted for Donald Trump in 2016, most voted for Obama in 2012, and all are undecided about their vote choice in 2020.

In a projective exercise, focus group respondents were asked to compare the President to an attraction at the Iowa State Fair, which was in progress at the time the focus group sessions were held.

Some of these voters compared the President to the Midway, explaining that the numerous rides and attractions were busy and distracting, which are associated with the President.

A few voters stated that the police presence at the Fair reminded them of the President, because he is a strong supporter of law enforcement and the military.

However, the most consistent answer – mentioned in every group – was that the President reminded them of Bobo the insult clown.   When asked to explain, voters said that the President’s constant tweeting in which he frequently criticizes or mocks those who oppose him, are not that different than Bobo shouting insults to random passers-by at the Fair. Despite voting for the President, and in some cases still strongly supportive of him, the image of a barking abrasive clown shouting at people, was an image associated with the President.

Similar comparisons were heard in the run-up to the 2016 election, when some said that President Trump reminded them of a carnival barker. However, that didn’t stop these voters from choosing Trump, whom they felt represented change to a much greater degree than the alternative, Hillary Clinton. To them, change was more important than personality or style.

At this point in the Presidential campaign, Democrats may again be tempted to focus solely on Trump’s personality or behavior on Twitter, but in-depth discussions with these focus group respondents indicate that that alone will not cause previous Trump voters to select a Democrat in the 2020 election campaign.

While voters are quick to say that the President needs a filter, or needs to think further before he speaks, they accept this as part of who he is.  What makes a bigger difference to these Trump voters is if they believe he is on their side, or whether he more frequently working on behalf of the wealthy, big corporations and special interests.

In these sessions, some of the biggest complaints about the President surrounded his trade policies which are viewed as hurting Iowa farmers and Iowa’s agricultural industry. They bristle when they hear that the President’s EPA has granted waivers for big oil companies so that they can circumvent regulations requiring use of ethanol.  They show high level of concern that the President cares more about oil companies than ethanol producers and corn growers. 

Results of these focus group sessions indicate that Democrats need to give voters a reason to choose them, and prove that they have a vision for change and will put people first – ahead of the oil companies and wealthy special interests that the President is focused on. Democrats must show them an economic plan that realistically encompasses their rural communities and industries – demonstrate that people like them will be better off.

While these Trump voters certainly don’t want Bobo the Clown as President, they are likely to vote to re-elect the President unless they hear in convincing terms that Democrats are offering something different, including a positive vision of the future where they vigorously will fight on behalf of the average American.

Methodology

Location

Date

Participants

Composition

Des Moines, IA

August 13, 2019

8

Trump 2016, Undecided 2020, some Obama 2012, women

8

Trump 2016, Undecided 2020, all Obama 2012, men

August 14, 2019

7

Trump 2016, Undecided 2020, some Obama 2012, Rural/small town outside of Polk County, mixed gender

 

 

Patty Judge’s Fair To-Dos

Patty Judge’s Fair To-Dos

Hello there!

Former Iowa Lieutenant Governor and Secretary of Agriculture (and yearly fair-goer) Patty Judge here. As you know, we’re less than a week away from the exciting two weeks of the Iowa State Fair. While that’s not quite enough time to do all there is to enjoy at the fair, you should be able to check a few boxes on a list I’ve created for you. As a lifelong Iowa State Fair goer, I take my job of showing our fair to all my friends from near and far very seriously. So, I have compiled a quick guide to get you started on your Iowa State Fair adventure!

First of all – fair food! The fair provides many excellent choices, and a corn dog first thing is a great way to kick things off. They are pretty good and you will have fulfilled your obligation to the Mighty Dog. Move on to cheese curds (my personal favorite), hot chocolate chip cookies, lemonade shake ups, hot beef sundaes, pork chops on a stick, and mini donuts (also a favorite). I have many more suggestions – turkey legs, roast lamb sandwiches, apple slices with hot caramel, wonder bars, grinders and gizmos are just a handful.

Check out the iconic Butter Cow in the Ag building. Now that you have paid homage to it, take a look at the veggies and flowers on display in the building and visit the bee keepers booth upstairs. More to eat here too…. Free hard-boiled egg on a stick, delicious ice cream and strawberry short cake.

Cattle shows in the old livestock pavilion are almost always going on. I love watching them.

Stop to see the Budweiser Clydesdales. They are not always at the fair, but this year we are in luck. It’s a thrill to see these hitches prancing down Grand Avenue as they deliver Bud to the beer tents. Once, I got to scoop-the-loop on the hitch as they made their ceremonial deliveries!

Take a look at the Biggest Boar and the Biggest Bull – catch the contest if you can!

Walk through the Horse Barn to see more of beautiful horses on the way to the Jacobsen Building and watch a show.

Head over to the Varied Industries Building and walk through the aisles. Sign up for free things, collect samples and enjoy the air conditioning.
Cross the street to the Department of Natural Resources Building to look at fish, snakes and other critters native to Iowa.

Take a jaunt on Ye Olde Mill and a ride down the Giant Slide.

Stop in the Cultural Building and look at the beautiful displays. Maybe take an art class yourself. Inside you can view some of the best Iowa photography there is to see.

Visit the Old Barn on the Hill, A.K.A. Pioneer Hall, and watch great contests like Iowa’s Best Banjo Player, and the Husband Calling contest.

Take advantage of the constant free entertainment on the various stages or treat yourself to a ticketed event in the Grand Stand. Iowa band Slipknot is coming home to play the Fair this year.

Visit the Fair Museum and learn some fascinating history, like the Great Train Wreck, and the Best Baby contests.

Ride the sky glider, visit the midway, drink a beer, enjoy life.

I know I have left out some great events. I camp with my family in the campgrounds at the top of the hill. We NEVER run out of things to do! Stop and see me, the beer and soda are always cold.

Sincerely,
Patty Judge

Oil and Gas Handouts Hurt Rural Communities and Cost Americans at the Pump

Small refinery waivers are the newest trend in Trump’s oil and gas give-a-ways. This comes on top of giving oil companies free reign to drill on our federal lands, jettisoning the Paris Climate Accord, promising the Keystone XL Pipeline, and opening up fragile arctic ecosystems to drilling. Now Trump is giving oil and gas companies a blanket pass on federal rules to blend low-carbon renewable biofuels into the auto fuel supply.

The waivers are meant to provide relief to small refineries who are experiencing “undue hardship” in meeting Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) blending rules, which were passed by Congress and signed by President Bush in 2005 and expanded in 2007. EPA data shows that during Obama’s last three years the administration approved 23 waiver applications and denied 18 – exempting 690 million gallons of gas from biofuel blending. Updated information shows Trump continues to approve 2017 applications, totaling 34 approvals as of March 19, 2019. While some applications are pending or withdrawn, Trump has not made a formal denial.

 

IN THE ERA OF TRUMP, EVEN EXXON GETS A WAIVER

Trump’s Administration has not denied a single waiver request from 2016 and 2017. Unabashedly quadrupling the annual average, this allowed 2.6 billion gallons to get a free-pass from renewable biofuel blending in two short years. The 57 companies exempted include major, global companies like Exxon and Chevron.

It’s hard to imagine economic hardship for companies like Exxon and Chevron. In their fourth quarter, Exxon earned $6 billion, totaling $20.8 billion in 2018. 

In the past, eligible companies had to prove need and produce less than 75,000 barrels a day. Exxon and Chevron produce more than three million barrels each day, Prioritizing oil and gas waivers above a cleaner, renewable energy mix is irresponsible, and a political favor Americans cannot afford.

RENEWABLE BIOFUELS SUPPORT RURAL COMMUNITIES

The RFS supports stable jobs and continued investments for a green economy. The renewable biofuels industry provides 340,000 good paying U.S. jobs and reduces greenhouse gases by 43 percent compared to gasoline. Clear standards and expectations have allowed the industry to invest billions and create hundreds of thousands of jobs, while having a positive impact on our environment.

WAIVERS JEOPARDIZE BIOFUEL PRODUCTION AND RURAL ECONOMIES

In 2018, the University of Missouri Food and Agriculture Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) estimated the ethanol industry would lose 4.6 billion gallons of domestic demand and $20 billion in revenue. Farmers face enough uncertainty thanks to Trump’s trade wars. Losses caused by these waivers threaten the economic lifeline and the investments that renewable biofuels give rural towns and our renewable future.

Allowing the one-percenters of the oil and gas industry to skirt the rules and prioritize traditionally extracted fossil fuels is a disservice to America and our environmental goals. Americans needs leaders who will implement the RFS as written and intended, allow E15 year-round, and limit these waivers to the truly small refineries they were meant for. 

SOURCES: https://www.epa.gov/fuels-registration-reporting-and-compliance-help/rfs-small-refinery-exemptions
https://news.exxonmobil.com/press-release/exxonmobil-earns-208-billion-2018-6-billion-fourth-quarter
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/01/chevron-q4-2018-earnings.html
https://www.usda.gov/media/press-releases/2017/01/12/usda-releases-new-report-lifecycle-greenhouse-gas-balance-ethanol
https://www.feedstuffs.com/news/fapri-finds-epa-s-rfs-exemptions-cost-20b-lost-ethanol-sales

 

Talking the Talk

Talking the Talk

In back to back to back quarterly polls, likely caucus goers in Iowa have said that victory in 2020 is going to be tied to bringing rural voters back into the fold. And they’ve said so resoundingly — by a 2-1 margin.

But what needs to happen to really bring those folks back? More than any policy or platform, doing so will be tied to an optimistic, well informed vision and a well executed pitch. Robert Leonard had an excellent column in the New York Times about what that successful pitch to Rural America might sound like. Here’s the gist: say things that stick, and tune out the white noise.

In a country as large as ours, people speak differently in different places. They deal with similar problems but are effected in differing ways. It’s a testament to our diversity, and to the breadth of issues any president is forced to grapple with. To win back rural voters you have to speak to them in a way that doesn’t go in one ear and out the other. You’ve got to make a connection.

Here are a few ways to do that:

“Breaking Up Big Ag” 
There’s a lot of talk about “breaking up Big Ag” in this primary, and consolidation is certainly a problem. But most of our farms are still family owned operations, and when they hear attacks on big ag, they often take them as an attack on themselves.

What you can and should speak about is finding ways to inject competition into the system. Give more power to the individual farmer. Put more money in their pockets by making innovations that boost productivity and efficiency more accessible. Invest in biofuels that allow for reliable returns on crop yields.

Immigration — Emigration
This is two-fold. When it comes to immigration, it’s not going to do you any favors to assume rural areas are inherently exclusionary. The reality is that all segments of the farm economy rely on immigrants to one degree or another, and they’re well aware of it. Farmers need an immigration system that ensures a reliable and consistent source of labor.

On emigration, rural communities have watched a generation of kids grow up and leave — never to return. A rural pitch needs to be cognizant of that. Don’t let your core message miss the fact that you’re promoting investment in health care, education, and infrastructure so small communities can thrive and so their kids and grandkids get jobs that keep them around.

Climate Change — Green New Deal
You might be forgiven for assuming that a state like Iowa has no connection to the debate on climate change. You’d also be very wrong. As rampant flooding over the past several years has made clear, worsening weather hits the midwest just as hard as the coasts. In the effort to stem these worst effects, rural areas have an important role to play.

Iowa is the top ethanol producer in the country, and a leader in renewable biofuel development. The industry employs thousands and contributes billions in economic activity. On top of that, 35% of the energy in Iowa comes from wind. The state was one of the earliest investors in wind turbines and it’s had a significant impact (one you can see driving through). These renewable fuels need to be considered as opportunities to develop a healthy climate and lessen our carbon footprint.

The Green New Deal can and should be just as important in Iowa as it is anywhere else. To make sure that happens, midwestern states need to be included as partners. Renewable energy and biofuels need to be accounted for on the same level, and carbon sequestration practices on farmland should be promoted and incentivized.

To win back states like Iowa, Michigan, or Wisconsin—states Democrats have won before and can win again—it’s vital that they’re factored into the big picture. It’s going to take some effort, but more than anything it’s going to mean speaking to rural voters again, because this is the reality: they are not outsiders or antagonists. They are an integral part to a winning coalition.